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Ethereum continues to hold the critical $1,500-$1,700 support zone, while weekly RSI near 33 suggests bearish momentum may be becoming exhausted.
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Stable active addresses and exchange reserves falling below 15 million ETH indicate that network demand and long-term accumulation remain intact
Ethereum has spent the past several weeks consolidating near the $1,400-$1,800 range following a drop from $2000. Despite remaining nearly 45% below its December 2025 peak above $3,400, the ETH price has shown resilience around key support levels, with recent price action hinting at seller exhaustion following a sharp rejection of lower prices.
While the market remains focused on Ethereum’s inability to reclaim major resistance levels, on-chain data points towards underlying network activity that could be stronger than current market sentiment implies. This raises questions about whether the price is entering an accumulation phase or simply pausing before another leg lower.
Ethereum Holds Above a Critical Multi-Year Support Zone
Ethereum is currently trading near $1,740 after correcting more than 60% from its cycle high above $4,600. Despite the prolonged decline, ETH continues to defend the $1,500-$1,700 region, a zone that has repeatedly acted as both support and resistance since 2022. The support zone aligns closely with the ascending trendline that has acted as Ethereum’s strongest base for nearly four years.
The price is sitting within a high-volume node on the Volume Profile. Historically, such areas tend to attract significant buying and selling activity as market participants reassess fair value. At the same time, the weekly RSI has dropped to nearly 33, its lowest reading since the 2022 bear market. The combination of a multi-year support test and near-oversold momentum conditions suggests downside pressure may be becoming increasingly stretched.
Currently, Ethereum remains below the major resistance cluster around $3,100-$3,300, which continues to cap upside momentum. However, as long as the $1,500-$1,700 support zone remains intact, A sustained hold above support could reinforce the case for accumulation, while a decisive break below $1,500 would invalidate the structure and expose lower volume-profile support levels.
Network Activity Diverges From Price Action
While Ethereum has corrected more than 60% from its cycle high above $4,600, active addresses have remained relatively stable throughout the decline. Daily active addresses continue to average between 300,000 and 500,000, with periodic spikes above 1 million, indicating network participation has not weakened at the same pace as price.
For traders, this creates a notable divergence. Major downtrends are typically accompanied by declining network activity, but Ethereum’s user engagement remains resilient despite the prolonged correction. The data suggests that while market sentiment has deteriorated significantly, underlying network demand has remained largely intact.
Exchange Reserves Continue to Trend Lower
Ethereum’s exchange reserves have fallen from more than 21 million ETH in 2022 to approximately 14.6 million ETH, extending a multi-year downtrend in exchange-held supply. The steady decline indicates that a growing portion of ETH is being moved off exchanges, reducing the amount readily available for immediate selling.
For traders, shrinking exchange balances are often viewed as a constructive supply-side signal. When combined with resilient network activity and Ethereum’s defense of the $1,500-$1,700 support zone, the declining reserve trend suggests that long-term holders continue accumulating despite the broader market correction.
Can Ethereum’s Fundamentals Trigger the Next Recovery Phase?
Ethereum’s recent price action presents a notable divergence from its underlying on-chain metrics. While ETH remains more than 60% below its cycle high and continues to trade beneath major resistance levels, active addresses have remained resilient, and exchange reserves have fallen to multi-year lows, indicating that network participation and long-term accumulation remain intact.
The key question is whether the ETH price eventually begins to reflect these fundamentals. As long as ETH continues to defend the $1,500-$1,700 support zone, the combination of stable network activity, declining exchange supply, and near-oversold weekly momentum suggests the current consolidation phase could be laying the foundation for a broader recovery rather than signaling a deterioration in Ethereum’s long-term outlook.
