What Happens to the XRP Price if the Crypto Bear Market Gets Worse?

While XRP continues to make efforts towards recovery from a prolonged selling period, the overall situation in the crypto space keeps investors on edge. The XRP price trades around $1.07 at a daily increase of 3.3%, but the price has still managed to fall down by nearly 73% from its mid-2025 high of $4.00.

In case of intensification of the current crypto bearishness, will XRP manage to withstand the pressure, or is it doomed to follow the rest of the market into the downtrend? The outcome will depend on regulation, institutional investment interest, network development, and buyers’ ability to protect one of the crucial support zones.

Regulation Gives XRP an Advantage

XRP’s regulation status makes it an outlier in the crypto market. Ripple recently resolved its lengthy legal battle against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, thus eliminating one of the major roadblocks that prevented XRP from moving forward for years. 

Since then, there have been improvements on the institutional front, such as the launch of spot XRP ETFs. Another positive development is seen in Europe. The company was approved by Luxembourg financial watchdog CSSF in the context of MiCA framework of the European Union.

This decision enables Ripple to further develop regulated products in Europe and implement its euro-denominated stablecoin project. However, these events will not necessarily boost price levels, but they eliminate uncertainties faced by many other cryptocurrencies.

Read Also: Crypto Price Prediction for Today, June 27: Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, SUI

Institutional Demand Continues to Build

Even during a difficult market, institutional interest has not disappeared. Spot XRP ETFs attracted $22.99 million in net inflows during their strongest week in more than six weeks, showing that investors are still allocating capital despite market volatility.

The XRP Ledger has also been expanding beyond payments. Tokenized real-world assets on the network have climbed to more than $118 million, representing growth of roughly 2,260% over the past year. Ripple is also moving ahead with upgrades that include quantum-resistant security and a native lending protocol, both designed to expand the network’s functionality.

On-chain data also paints an interesting picture. Wallets holding at least 1 million XRP now control approximately 74.1% of the circulating supply, following months of steady accumulation. Large holders adding positions during weak markets has often attracted attention because it can reduce available supply if buying continues.

The XRP Price Still Needs to Clear Major Resistance

We analyzed the XRP daily chart and found out that there is still a lot to improve in terms of technicals, although the current rally is already underway. XRP stands at around $1.07, which is roughly 18.6% down from the $1.3191 100-day SMA. The SMA is steadily declining for the whole year of 2026.

There are, however, a few encouraging signs. XRP bounced about 6.4% from its recent low near $1.01, and the daily RSI is around 36.8 after forming multiple bullish divergences over recent months. Those signals show downside momentum has weakened compared to previous selloffs.

Support at the $1.00 level is where the buying pressure needs to be sustained. Failure to do so may result in buyers looking for support around the $0.88 and $0.80 levels. Resistance is located at the $1.10 mark with $1.20 and $1.32 (100-day moving average) coming up next.

Volume is yet another consideration to keep in mind. The trading volume has reduced in recent times, indicating that buyers will require more involvement to sustain any breakout.

So What Happens if the Bear Market Gets Worse?

However, should the general crypto market continue to decline, XRP will feel further pressure despite its increasingly positive fundamentals.

That being said, XRP comes into this phase with better regulatory oversight than many other cryptos, a steady flow of money into ETFs, growing trading volume on the XRP Ledger, and steady accumulation by large investors. These aspects may serve as buffers against any downward pressure.

For now, everything comes back to one level. As long as $1.00 continues holding, XRP still has an opportunity to challenge $1.10 and possibly $1.20. Losing that support would hand control back to sellers and increase the risk of another leg lower before any sustained recovery can begin.

FAQs

Why are XRP ETFs important

Spot XRP ETFs give institutional and retail investors a regulated way to gain exposure to XRP without directly holding the cryptocurrency, potentially increasing demand over time.

Why are XRP whales accumulating tokens

Large investors often accumulate during periods of market weakness if they believe an asset has long-term potential. Whale accumulation can reduce available supply, although it does not guarantee higher prices.