NordFX Weekly Forex & Crypto Forecast | May 11–15, 2026

Markets enter the week on edge — the US–Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff continues, while April NFP surprised to the upside at 115K (vs. 62K expected). Here’s what to watch 👇

💶 EUR/USD — 1.1748 The ECB is turning hawkish (50 bps priced by year-end), the Fed is frozen on hold. The pair is knocking on 1.1800 — a soft US CPI on Tuesday could break it open. 📈 Mildly bullish above 1.1720.

🛢️ Brent Crude — $101.29 First weekly drop (−6.4%) since the Strait closed, but the physical market is still screaming: Dated Brent above $130. Everything hinges on Tehran’s response to the US peace proposal. 💥 Extreme volatility ahead.

🥇 Gold — $4,730.70 Gold clawed back above $4,700 after a brutal week. CPI on Tuesday is the trigger — soft data could push it toward $4,800–$4,840. Goldman Sachs target: $5,400. 📈 Mildly bullish above $4,700.

🥈 Silver — $80.865 Best performer of the week: +5.4%! The Wednesday peace-talk surge sent silver flying. Strong Buy signal on all timeframes. Next target: the 50-day SMA at $82.67. 🚀 Bullish above $79.20.

₿ Bitcoin — $80,165 BTC hit $82,000 this week — highest since January — before pulling back. Exchange reserves at a 7-year low, whale accumulation at record levels. The 200-day EMA at $82,228 is the line to beat. 💪 Bullish above $80,000.

🔷 Ethereum — $2,284.70 ETH touched $2,412 mid-week but gave it all back. The converged 50/200-day MA cluster at $2,361–$2,367 remains the wall. Higher beta = bigger moves in both directions. ⚖️ Neutral above $2,250.

🔑 Key events this week: 📅 Tue May 12 — US CPI April ← the big one 📅 Wed May 13 — US PPI 📅 Thu May 14 — US Retail Sales 🕊️ Iran’s response to the US peace MOU — could move everything

📖 Full analysis with levels, technicals & baseline views: 🔗 https://nordfx.com/market-news/forex-cryptocurrency-forecast-may-11-15-2026

⚠️ Trading involves risk. This is not investment advice.

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📊 NordFX Weekly Forex & Crypto Forecast | May 11–15, 2026 was originally published in Coinmonks on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.