XRP Price: Buy Signal Flashes as Whales Accumulate and Circle Acquisition Rumors Swirl

TLDR

• On-chain analyst Santiment says XRP social sentiment has hit a 3-week fear high, which it calls a buy signal.
• Whales pulled 122 million XRP from Binance in a single session — the largest daily outflow since February.
• XRP spot ETFs posted 16 straight days of positive inflows totaling $116.75 million.
• Ripple may be eyeing a $11 billion acquisition of stablecoin issuer Circle, though no executives have confirmed it.
• XRP’s 30-day MVRV is at its lowest since December 2020, a zone that has historically preceded rebounds.

XRP is trading around $1.34 after bouncing off a 24-hour low of $1.33. Volume rose 5% in the past day as both on-chain data and derivatives metrics turned bullish.

On-chain analytics firm Santiment flagged that the XRP bullish-to-bearish comment ratio on social media has dropped to 1.1:1 — placing it in what Santiment calls the “FUD zone.” According to the firm, when retail traders become this fearful, weaker hands have already sold and conditions often favor a price bounce.

Santiment also noted that XRP’s 30-day MVRV — which tracks average returns for recent traders — has fallen to its lowest level since December 2020. The average XRP trader active in the past 30 days is down 47%. Historically, readings this low have appeared when retail participants have largely given up, and the firm says this represents an “extreme undervalued zone.”

Whale activity is backing that signal. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha confirmed that 122 million XRP was withdrawn from Binance in a single trading session on May 22 — the biggest daily outflow since early February. Net exchange position change dropped to -30 million that Sunday.

ETF Demand and Derivatives Signal Continued Interest

Spot XRP ETF inflows have remained positive for 16 straight sessions, with combined inflows reaching $116.75 million during that run, according to SoSoValue data. Derivatives traders are also leaning bullish. Open interest in XRP futures rose more than 1% to $2.86 billion, with CME and Binance both seeing gains on the 4-hour chart.

Bollinger Bands on the daily chart have compressed to their tightest range since mid-2024. Similar compression periods in the past preceded upward moves of 58% to 82%, according to chart analyst Crypto Patel.

Circle Acquisition Rumor Adds to Community Buzz

Adding fuel to community speculation is a rumor that Ripple is planning to acquire USDC issuer Circle for $11 billion. The chatter began after the XRP Ledger Foundation posted on X: “Tomorrow’s going to be a great day.” No executives from either company have confirmed the deal.

This is not the first time such a rumor has circulated. Last year, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse denied a Bloomberg report claiming Ripple had pursued a $4–$5 billion bid for Circle. Circle also said at the time it was not for sale.

On the technical side, XRP is trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages. The RSI sits near 41. Analyst ChartNerd identified the current lower support zone as a key level, noting that losing it could trigger a broader pullback.

XRP futures open interest on CME rose 0.32% and Binance climbed 1.13% on the 4-hour timeframe at the time of writing.

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