BTC SELL Signal Triggered

HORMUZ blues causing world recession to get baked in . . .

BTC closed its 24 hour session for Thursday 28 May 2026 (four hours after the close of the NYSE) at the price of US$73,512.56. That is below a sell signal level which appeared on 14 April 2026 at US$73,854.50.

That tells us that we should exit (by selling) the positions that we entered based on the triggering of our most recent buy signal on the 4 March 2026 at the closing price of US$72,683.26.

(Actual fill prices will vary, but at the time of this writing that trade looks likely to result in a small profit for us as we await the next buy signal that once again could be likely to lead to the end of this grinding bear market.)

But why is this happening now???

After air, water and food, the next most critical element for modern human survival is external energy, originally from the sun, and most commonly used in its concentrated forms in fossil fuels such as oil, gas and coal.

The disruption of the supply of crucial energy supplies causes their prices to rise, but buyers still must buy energy, just to survive. So increases in prices of energy supplies then result in increases in the prices of virtually everything. Rising prices lead to rising interest rates. Rising interest rates leads to the decline of nearly all asset prices (with the notable exception of treasury bonds which rise very early in anticipation of falling interest rates due to falling economic activity and associated demand for borrowing).

So is BTC currently declining more than nearly every other major asset class at this time because BTC the most sensitive gauge of future economic activities, or is it because it is the one most misunderstood as to its level of dependence on fossil fuels, or because it is the one with the greatest amount of pending major legislative uncertainty, or all three???

To keep this post from going on too much further into the long finer details of each of those three major current considerations, for now I will very roughly summarize it, very simply and clearly, as follows:

It is most likely the result of the combination of all three of them.

So in this current short term bearish period we are experiencing, BTC is bearing most of the brunt (pun intended;). But the emphasis must be correctly viewed as being applicable to only this current short term period.

Because all roads will lead, over the fullness of time, to BTC leading all other major asset classes up out of any anticipated and/or actual economic malaise from any and all causes that come our way. And that is because BTC remains to be the only one asset in human history which has a maximum total supply which is strictly limited by code which is maintained by the largest and most decentralized network in human history (rather than by authorities which may be trusted today, but which may become untrustworthy by whims of human weaknesses at any time).

Therefore, once again, the best reasoning remains the same. HODL the majority of your BTC for the much longer term and do not allow short term panics to trick you into selling. We are only working with our available excess cash reserves, to attempt to add to our base position HODLings in more strategic ways when such opportunities appear to arise.

So after liquidating the portion of our holdings based upon the most recent buy signal on 4 March 2026, we will patiently await the next buy signal, AND continue to maintain our buy orders at the lower levels of support reiterated as follows:

Place/maintain Good Till Canceled (GTC) orders to add to BTC holdings near the levels of anticipated major support (either one of which may prove to be strong enough to stop and reverse the decline), as follows:

50% of remaining cash near the $50,000 level;

50% of remaining cash near the $25,000 level.

All of the same thinking applies to the BTC spot ETF’s, but only as adjusted to their equivalent prices.

Again, the most well-reasoned economic decision that we can hope to make during anticipated difficulties, continues, through thick and thin, to be this:

HODL (Hold On For Dear Life) to the majority of your BTC.

Best wishes!!!

Disclaimers: The views in this article are the author’s personal views. This commentary is provided for general informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice, nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities referred to. Individual circumstances and current events are critical to sound investment planning; anyone wishing to act on this article should consult with their advisor. The information provided in this article has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is believed to be accurate at the time of publishing, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange-traded funds, mutual funds, crypto currencies and money market funds involves the risk of loss. Their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated in the future.

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