The US and Iran have been fighting since February 28, 2026. That was when the US and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury. They hit Iranian military bases, nuclear sites, and top leaders. Iran fired back with missiles at US and Israeli targets and struck energy facilities around the Gulf. That led to blockages at the Strait of Hormuz in danger which led to oil price pumping.
Markets have been watching closely for any sign the fighting might stop. Fresh hope came when President Donald Trump said a US-Iran deal is still on track, even after new missile strikes.
He added that Israel would have “no choice” but to accept a US-backed agreement. Those comments made people think the fighting could ease before the end of June.
XRP is trading near $1.16 after months of weakness that began shortly after the conflict started in late February. The token has struggled to regain momentum as traders moved away from risk assets during the war. Despite the decline, several underlying metrics remain healthy.
One bright spot has been ETF demand. XRP spot ETFs recorded between $118 million and $131.94 million in net inflows during May, marking the strongest month of 2026 for the products. For the week ending June 5, ETFs still attracted a net $2.62 million, with Canary’s XRPC and Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ offsetting outflows from Bitwise.
On-chain activity shows investors are still interested. Wallets with at least 10,000 XRP hit a record 332,330 addresses. That means large holders have kept buying during the drop. More than 25 million XRP also moved off exchanges and into private wallets. That takes supply away from the market and lowers the amount available for instant selling.
Source: Tradingview.com
We looked at the XRP chart. The trend has been mostly down since February 28. XRP traded above $3.00 before the war got worse. But over the last three months, it has made lower highs and lower lows.
The token bounced above $2.00 in January and again around April. But sellers took control both times and pushed the price back down to the $1.10 to $1.20 area where it trades now.
Network activity on the XRP Ledger has jumped. Data from June 5 showed 215,399 daily active addresses. That is the first time the network has gone over 200,000 daily users since March. Through April and May, activity usually stayed between 130,000 and 180,000 addresses. So this is one of the strongest user-growth numbers of the year.
Institutional adoption has also received a boost. Ripple Prime was confirmed as a participant in the DTCC Industry Working Group, which is creating standards for tokenized securities across traditional financial markets. The group includes major financial firms such as Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and BlackRock, with the first production phase expected to begin in July 2026.
Another development comes from Ripple’s planned institutional lending protocol. The new system is designed to offer fixed-term, fixed-rate loans through isolated vaults on the XRP Ledger. If launched as expected in Q3 2026, it could increase institutional activity on XRPL and create additional demand across the ecosystem.
Related XRP News: Ripple News: Banks Are Using XRP Right Now – Evernorth Manages 400M Tokens, Analyst Explains
Bullish Case:
A peace deal would take away the war risk that has been hanging over crypto. That would likely set off a broad rally and push XRP toward $1.50 to $1.80. Reopening the Strait of Hormuz would calm fears about energy markets and let big money flow back into assets like XRP.
Ripple’s XRP already posted record ETF inflows of $132 million in May. Add in the DTCC news and over 215,000 daily users on the XRP Ledger, and renewed confidence in the economy could speed up a breakout toward the old highs.
Source: Claude AI
Likely Case:
XRP sees a short-term bounce to $1.30 to $1.45 as war fears fade. But without a fresh reason to buy beyond the deal itself, the rally stalls. ETF money keeps coming in, and whales keep stacking coins, so there is a floor under the price.
But the CLARITY Act only has a 55% chance of passing, so uncertainty around rules still holds XRP back. Price consolidates in the $1.25-$1.45 range as markets wait on the July DTCC production phase and Q3 lending protocol for the next directional move.
Bearish Case:
A “sell the news” reaction sees the XRP price dip to $1.00-$1.05 as traders who bought the peace rumor exit positions. If the deal is perceived as fragile or conditional, risk appetite remains subdued and ETF outflows could return. Failure of the CLARITY Act would further remove the regulatory premium, exposing XRP to a retest of the $0.90 support zone.
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The post Claude AI Predicts the XRP Price if the US and Iran Sign a Peace Deal in June appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.

