XRP investors are closely watching the market as the cryptocurrency continues to trade within a narrow range, leaving many wondering whether the next major move will be higher or lower.
According to crypto commentator Steph Is Crypto, a rarely discussed technical signal may provide important clues about where XRP is headed next. In a recent video, the analyst pointed to a combination of long-term momentum indicators and key resistance levels that he believes could determine XRP’s direction in the coming months.
Steph Is Crypto began by examining XRP’s long-term chart structure. He noted that the asset continues to trade below a major trend line in place since 2017.
According to the analyst, XRP has historically entered significant bullish phases whenever it reclaims and holds above this trend line. He emphasized that the current market structure still requires a decisive move above $1.30 before investors can receive confirmation that a new bullish trend is underway.
While maintaining a generally optimistic long-term outlook, Steph Is Crypto acknowledged that short-term risks remain. Looking at XRP’s four-hour chart, he highlighted an upward trend line that had supported the price since June 6.
XRP recently fell below that support and is now attempting to retest it from underneath. The analyst explained that failure to reclaim this trend line could open the door to a deeper correction, potentially pushing XRP below the psychologically important $1 mark.
According to Steph Is Crypto, the immediate level traders should monitor is the $1.16 and $1.17 region. A successful move above that area would indicate that XRP has regained short-term strength and could continue moving higher. Until that happens, he believes the possibility of additional downside cannot be ruled out.
The analyst’s outlook revolves around the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator on XRP’s monthly chart. Steph Is Crypto described the indicator as one of the most important tools for measuring market momentum and highlighted a pattern that he believes deserves greater attention.
He noted that XRP has already recorded approximately seven consecutive red monthly MACD histogram bars. Looking back at previous market cycles, he observed that substantial price rallies followed prolonged weakness once the MACD histogram shifted from red to white or pink bars.
The analyst referenced February 2019 and September 2022 as notable examples. In both cases, the first lighter-colored MACD bar coincided with major price recoveries in XRP. He pointed out that XRP gained roughly 100% following the 2019 signal, while the 2022 setup was followed by an initial rally of around 81% before extending significantly higher.
Based on those historical examples, Steph Is Crypto believes there is a strong probability that XRP could experience a meaningful rebound if the next monthly MACD bar changes color. While he acknowledged that short-term volatility may continue, he stated that current market conditions suggest XRP may have already formed a bottom or is approaching one.
For now, the analyst maintains that the $1.30 level remains the most important price barrier. Until XRP breaks above that threshold, investors may continue to face uncertainty.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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