Avalanche adoption is exploding – but AVAX now faces its biggest test

Adoption is the true measure of success. 

In January 2026, the crypto market faced a downturn, but signs of recovery emerged by February. Despite broader challenges, Avalanche showed resilience, excelling in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization.

By the 3rd of February, AVAX ranked third in development activity, behind Hedera [HBAR] and Chainlink [LINK]. 

In Q4 2025, tokenized assets on AVAX grew 68.6%, with a TVL of $1.3 billion, bolstered by BlackRock and FIS, according to findings.

With market sentiment still fragile, the key question remains: Can AVAX’s real-world adoption drive its price higher?

Avalanche at a bounce zone: $145 next?

On the 3rd of January, Avalanche found itself at a crucial price point: the $10 support zone. After failing to hold above the $11 level toward the end of January, Avalanche [AVAX] dipped to this support level on the 31st of January.

At this level, AVAX showed signs of life, as it hadn’t been at this price since 2023. This attempt at price stabilization suggested a solid base from which the coin could push upwards, with local resistance only at $14.5. 

From there, there was no major resistance between that level and $145. This wasn’t just hope, but what else could have backed this move?

AVAX: Whale activity skyrockets

Whale activity on AVAX surged, as shown by the spot average order size chart from CryptoQuant above. Whales aggressively accumulated near the $10 support zone, reflecting patterns from the 2021 dip.

While retail traders hesitated, whales saw deep value at these price levels and positioned themselves for a potential rebound. This buying pressure could drive AVAX to new heights.

AVAX ETF sees massive inflows

AVAX has been a hot topic recently, especially after the launch of the $AVAX ETF by VanEck on the 27th of January.

By the 31st of January, the ETF had already attracted $1.24 million in net inflows, signaling early institutional interest in the asset.

That said, while this figure may seem small, it marks the beginning of a broader shift towards AVAX. As more institutional players recognize its potential, could we see even greater momentum and inflows moving forward?

Final Thoughts

• With strong backing from institutions and whales, AVAX could see its price skyrocket towards $400. 
• Continued market volatility from Bitcoin could impact this growth, and losing the $10 level could send AVAX down to $8.79.