Inside UMA's optimistic oracle: how Polymarket markets settle, the $60M Strategy dispute, whale voting risks, and the rival settlement designs.
2026/07/03
Polymarket can't settle its $345M Iran bet after the US-Iran ceasefire. Traders are split over whether peace is 'permanent,' freezing the massive market. Here's
2026/06/16
A $79M dispute over a May 31 MSTR bet shows how Polymarket wording and UMA votes can flip outcomes. Practical steps to price and reduce settlement risk.
2026/06/14
The initiative enables advisors to allocate to private investments, manage the lifecycle of investments, aggregate data and post-trade reporting at scale within
2026/06/10
TLDR Asics confirmed it will spin off Onitsuka Tiger into a wholly owned subsidiary called OT Group, effective January 1 Asics stock jumped nearly 4% to 4,588 yen
BitcoinWorld Polymarket Under Fire: 20% of Dispute Judges Had Stake in Outcomes They Ruled On A conflict-of-interest controversy is escalating around the prediction
2026/06/08
UMA voters backed “No” outcome despite Strategy selling BTC before May 31. Traders argued actual BTC sale timing mattered more than delayed SEC filing. The $80M
2026/06/04
A Polymarket prediction contract focused on whether Strategy sold Bitcoin before May 31 ultimately settled in the negative, after disagreements emerged among traders
TLDR Polymarket resolved the May contract as No and the June contract as Yes after Strategy disclosed its bitcoin sale on June 1. Strategy confirmed in an SEC filing
Polymarket MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale dispute: how a one-day filing gap and UMA governance vote led to a controversial 'No' settlement outcome.