Third Fed Cut Fails to Spark Rally in DOGE, SHIB

Dogecoin traded quietly after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely anticipated rate cut, holding key support as traders assessed what easier policy means for risk assets.

News Background

• The Federal Reserve announced a 25-basis-point cut to its benchmark rate on Wednesday, lowering the target range to 3.5%–3.75%.
• While the move marked the third cut of the year, policymakers signaled growing internal disagreement.
• Some members supported further easing to protect a weakening labor market, while others warned that additional cuts risk reigniting inflation pressures.
• The mixed tone limited immediate risk-on follow-through across markets, with crypto prices stabilizing rather than extending gains.
• Against this backdrop, Dogecoin continued to see steady on-chain engagement.
• Whale wallets accumulated roughly 480 million DOGE over recent sessions, and trading activity remained elevated following the launch of spot DOGE ETFs from Grayscale and Bitwise.
• However, ETF-related flows have so far failed to produce sustained directional momentum.

Price Action Summary

• DOGE rose 0.69% to around $0.1405 over the past 24 hours, remaining firmly within its multi-week $0.13–$0.15 consolidation range.
• Price moved between $0.1382 and $0.1408 during the session, reflecting restrained participation despite the macro catalyst.
• Trading volume reached approximately 651.7 million tokens, about 7% above the seven-day average, suggesting positioning rather than aggressive accumulation.
• Repeated attempts to clear resistance near $0.1425–$0.1430 were rejected, while buyers continued to defend the $0.1380 area.

Technical Analysis

• Technically, DOGE remains in a compression phase. Horizontal support near $0.1380 has now held through multiple tests, reinforcing its importance as a near-term floor.
• Momentum indicators remain neutral, consistent with range-bound conditions rather than trend development.
• The structure continues to resemble a pennant or volatility coil, implying that a sharper move is more likely to come from a breakout or breakdown than gradual drift.
• Until price reclaims the upper boundary of the range, upside attempts are likely to face selling pressure.

What Traders Should Know

• With the Fed cut now priced in and policymakers signaling uncertainty about further easing, DOGE appears more sensitive to broader risk sentiment than to token-specific catalysts.
• Holding above $0.1380 keeps the structure intact, but failure to reclaim $0.1420–$0.1450 suggests upside remains capped for now.
• A sustained break above that zone would open the door toward $0.16–$0.18, while a loss of $0.1380 would expose the lower end of the range near $0.13.
• For now, DOGE remains a consolidation trade in a post-Fed, wait-and-see market.