Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

910 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Robinhood to unveil AI innovations and prediction market features on December 16

Robinhood to unveil AI innovations and prediction market features on December 16

The post Robinhood to unveil AI innovations and prediction market features on December 16 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Robinhood is set to unveil new AI innovations and prediction market features at a December event. CEO Vlad Tenev will lead the announcement, highlighting the company’s strategic pivot into AI-enabled fintech features. Robinhood, a retail investing platform, will showcase new AI innovations and prediction market features at an event on December 16 led by Chairman and CEO Vlad Tenev. The platform currently enables users to trade stocks, cryptocurrencies, and event contracts through prediction markets focused on real-world outcomes like politics and economics. Robinhood is introducing yes/no contracts tied to various events as part of its prediction markets features. The company is emphasizing prediction markets and AI innovations as part of its latest product developments. The upcoming event will unveil AI-driven enhancements designed to provide trading insights and expand the platform’s capabilities in event outcome trading. Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/robinhood-ai-innovations-prediction-market-december-event/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone

Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone

BitcoinWorld Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone Have you ever wondered where people are putting their money to predict real-world events? The answer just became clearer with a seismic shift in the crypto world. In a stunning display of growth, the combined prediction markets trading volume for platforms Polymarket and Kalshi soared to nearly $10 billion in November. This isn’t just a […] This post Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
HTX Academy Explores the Future of Prediction Markets in New Report

HTX Academy Explores the Future of Prediction Markets in New Report

The post HTX Academy Explores the Future of Prediction Markets in New Report appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Tony Kim Dec 01, 2025 03:09 HTX Academy’s latest report delves into the evolution and future potential of prediction markets, highlighting key innovations and industry challenges. HTX Academy has released an in-depth report on the evolution and future of prediction markets, tracing their journey from early academic experiments to their current status as a sophisticated financial instrument. According to HTX Academy, these markets have transformed significantly over the past three decades, evolving from platforms like the Iowa Electronic Markets and Betfair to modern on-chain solutions such as Augur on Ethereum. Evolution of Prediction Markets Originally rooted in academic and betting exchanges, prediction markets have matured into a dual-oligopoly dominated by Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket represents the decentralized path, offering a platform built on Polygon that supports multichain expansion and utilizes a central limit order book for trading. Meanwhile, Kalshi follows a compliance-driven approach, having secured CFTC approval as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) and a Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) license, positioning itself as a regulated U.S. event-contract exchange. Key Innovations and Industry Landscape The report highlights a shift towards turning event contracts into financial primitives, developing products like perpetuals, options, and indices. New platforms such as Opinion, Limitless, and PMX Trade are emerging, focusing on specific verticals like sports, crypto assets, and the creator economy. These innovations aim to integrate prediction markets as an information-pricing layer within social media, news systems, and financial terminals. Challenges Facing Prediction Markets Despite significant advancements, prediction markets face structural challenges related to regulation, liquidity, and oracle governance. Regulatory uncertainty, particularly in the U.S., poses a significant barrier, with classification issues determining whether they fall under the jurisdiction of the CFTC, state gambling laws, or SEC regulations. This uncertainty affects institutional capital participation and the industry’s potential…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi Assign Mixed Odds for Bitcoin’s Path Above $100K in 2025

Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi Assign Mixed Odds for Bitcoin’s Path Above $100K in 2025

The post Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi Assign Mixed Odds for Bitcoin’s Path Above $100K in 2025 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As of Sunday, Nov. 30, 2025, bitcoin is priced at $91,482, and odds from prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi show traders expecting potential gains but keeping their expectations firmly tethered to earth. As 2025 Nears the End, Prediction Market Odds Get Firmer Bitcoin is trading at $91,482 on Sunday, Nov. 30, 2025, and prediction markets […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-markets-polymarket-and-kalshi-assign-mixed-odds-for-bitcoins-path-above-100k-in-2025/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Traders Price Bearish Odds on $100K Bitcoin Rebound in 2025

Kalshi Traders Price Bearish Odds on $100K Bitcoin Rebound in 2025

The post Kalshi Traders Price Bearish Odds on $100K Bitcoin Rebound in 2025 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes Bitcoin price rebounded 17% this week but failed to break above the $95,000 resistance despite renewed ETF inflows. Prediction markets turned bearish after Kalshi’s market-manipulation lawsuit, with traders cutting odds of Bitcoin price retaking $100,000 before the end of 2025. BlackRock’s $117 million outflow and muted whale activity, including Strategy’s pause in weekly purchases, signal weakening bullish conviction. Bitcoin price rebounded 17%, moving from lows near $82,000 on November 21 to graze the $93,000 level on November 28. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a combined $221 million in net inflows between Nov. 25 and Nov. 28. Still, despite closing Friday with a modest $74 million net-positive session, BTC failed to advance beyond the key $95,000 resistance. Blackrock’s $117 million outflows of Friday stand out despite $74 million net inflows on Friday, Nov 28 | Source: FarsideInvestors BlackRock’s heavy outflow of $117 million stood out. As the world’s largest asset manager, its positioning often sets the tone for other institutional investors globally. Strategy (MSTR) Bitcoin purchase history Aug 11 to Nov 17, 2025 | Source: Bitbo.io Further underscoring the cautious stance among Bitcoin whales, Strategy Inc. made no purchases last week, ending a 14-week run that began in August. According to Bitbo data, the Michael Saylor-led firm confirmed its last buy on Nov. 17, when it acquired 8,178 BTC for $836 million, lifting total holdings to 649,870 BTC. Bitcoin’s weak momentum is also reflected in the prediction markets, where Kalshi now faces a major lawsuit over market manipulation and accusations of betting against its own users. Intraday Kalshi order books on Nov. 29 showed traders pricing lower odds of Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 before the end of 2025, with markets increasingly leaning towards a close below $80,000. Kalshi odds on Bitcoin price rebounding to $100,000 in 2025 drops 11% on Nov 29…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Bitcoin Hyper Price Prediction for 2026: 87% Odds of December Rate Cut Fuel Market Rally as DeepSnitch AI Races Toward Stage 3

Bitcoin Hyper Price Prediction for 2026: 87% Odds of December Rate Cut Fuel Market Rally as DeepSnitch AI Races Toward Stage 3

The post Bitcoin Hyper Price Prediction for 2026: 87% Odds of December Rate Cut Fuel Market Rally as DeepSnitch AI Races Toward Stage 3 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto markets are rallying as Polymarket bettors now see an 87% chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December. This surge in optimism is lifting crypto-linked stocks and digital assets alike. As liquidity returns, investors are re-evaluating the Bitcoin Hyper price prediction and hunting for high-growth opportunities.  One project, DeepSnitch AI, is what many consider to be the perfect opportunity. Its presale has surged past $622,000 raised, with the token price currently at $0.02527, a 65% gain for early investors. With the presale approaching Stage 3, the chance to enter at this price point is closing fast. Polymarket predicts 87% chance of December rate cut  Crypto-linked stocks and assets rose in value on November 28th as prediction-market odds of a December interest rate cut surged to 87% on Polymarket, the highest level seen this month. This bullish sentiment is driving capital back into the market. Leading the rally were US-listed Bitcoin miners Cleanspark, Riot Platforms, and Cipher Mining, all of which posted double-digit gains over the past five days.  Circle, the issuer of USDC, also jumped nearly 10% in early trading, while Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Coinbase saw more modest increases. Bitcoin itself is up around 7% on the week, recovering from a dip to $82,000 on November 21. This renewed strength is directly tied to the macroeconomic outlook. A rate cut typically lowers the cost of borrowing and encourages investment in risk-on assets like cryptocurrency. Which projects offer the best returns? DeepSnitch AI: Beat the stage 3 price jump as January launch approaches The macro environment is perfect: rates are likely to come down, and “risk-on” appetite is returning. This is the signal to move into high-utility, early-stage projects. DeepSnitch AI is an excellent opportunity. Here is the reality: The presale is moving fast. With over $622,000…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
New Lawsuit Challenges Kalshi’s Sports Betting Operations

New Lawsuit Challenges Kalshi’s Sports Betting Operations

The post New Lawsuit Challenges Kalshi’s Sports Betting Operations appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Plaintiffs say Kalshi ran unlicensed sports betting disguised as a regulated exchange. Suit claims users unknowingly wagered against market makers tied to Kalshi’s affiliate. Kalshi denies wrongdoing, calling the allegations competitor-driven and incorrect. Kalshi Inc. is facing a new legal challenge as seven users of its prediction-market app have filed a proposed class action in New York, alleging that the firm operated unlicensed sports betting markets while presenting itself as a federally regulated exchange. The complaint, submitted on Wednesday, adds to the mounting scrutiny surrounding Kalshi’s sports-related event markets and questions the company’s disclosures about how trading activity is structured on its platform. According to the filing, Kalshi promoted its sports markets as “legal sports betting” even though it does not hold gaming licenses in any U.S. jurisdiction. The complaint states that customers exercised wagers on outcomes such as NFL game results and player performance totals, which plaintiffs characterize as equivalent to mainstream sports betting products. The lawsuit further alleges that Kalshi Trading, an affiliated entity, functioned as a market maker and played a central role in establishing pricing that could place users at a disadvantage. Plaintiffs claim that participants often matched against funds provided by a sophisticated liquidity provider rather than other individual users, a structure they argue mirrors betting against “the House.” Plaintiffs Seek Financial Recovery and Highlight Regulatory Tensions The seven named plaintiffs are seeking recovery of the money they wagered, as well as the possibility of triple damages. The complaint asserts that sports-related contracts represented nearly 90% of Kalshi’s trading activity in September, contrasting with the company’s broader positioning as a general event-driven exchange. It also alleges that the firm’s activities violated consumer-protection and gambling statutes across more than 30 states and Washington, D.C., including New York, California, and Florida. The case arrives shortly after a…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Marketplace Kalshi Slammed With Lawsuit Over Violations

Prediction Marketplace Kalshi Slammed With Lawsuit Over Violations

The post Prediction Marketplace Kalshi Slammed With Lawsuit Over Violations appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes A class action lawsuit has been brought against prediction marketplace Kalshi. The platform is being accused of illegal sports gambling and of manipulating the market. This comes only a few weeks after Kalshi raised $300 million in a Series D funding at a $5 billion valuation. Kalshi is facing a lawsuit for its involvement in illegal sports gambling and for allegedly manipulating the market. It allegedly advertised itself as providing “legal sports betting” even though it does not possess any gaming license in any US state. This new class action comes as the company records significant growth in its valuations and major funding achievements. Illegal Practices Found Within Kalshi Prediction Markets Popular prediction marketplace Kalshi has been accused of getting involved in illegal sports gambling and market manipulation. As a result, a class action has been filed against the company, per a Bloomberg report. It allegedly ran an unlicensed sports betting operation and advertised itself as providing “legal sports betting.” Meanwhile, it did not hold a gaming licence from any US state. Another complaint raised against Kalshi is that it creates betting lines in such a way that puts customers at a disadvantage. Precisely, customers face off against money provided by a sophisticated market maker on the other side of the ledger when they place bets on Kalshi. This way, “market makers make it possible for consumers to place illegal, unregulated wagers against the House,” the plaintiffs stated. Kalshi has outrightly denied all of the accusations brought against it, describing them as baseless. It even claims to operate only as a federally regulated derivatives exchange under the watch of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Kalshi Celebrates Another Milestone Coincidentally, this comes as Kalshi registers great growth in its valuations and major funding achievements. At the beginning of…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Faces Lawsuit Alleging Illegal Sports Betting and Market Manipulation

Kalshi Faces Lawsuit Alleging Illegal Sports Betting and Market Manipulation

The post Kalshi Faces Lawsuit Alleging Illegal Sports Betting and Market Manipulation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crime Kalshi, one of the fastest-growing players in the prediction-market sector, is facing a proposed class action that accuses the company of operating an unlicensed sports gambling service and manipulating market conditions. Key Takeaways  Kalshi is facing a lawsuit accusing it of illegal sports gambling and market manipulation. The company rejects the claims, saying it is a CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and that the lawsuit is competitor-driven. The dispute comes during rapid growth, including a $1B raise, soaring trading volume, and a new Coinbase USDC custody partnership. The legal filing comes at a time when the firm is expanding rapidly and securing large funding rounds. The complaint alleges that Kalshi’s platform functions as a sportsbook without holding state gaming licenses and claims that customers are disadvantaged because market makers — described in the suit as effectively “the House” — sit on the opposite side of trades. Plaintiffs also argue that the company advertises its service as “legal sports betting,” which they say misleads users. Kalshi disputes the accusations. In a public statement, founder Luana Lopes Lara said the company operates only as a CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange, not as a gambling platform. She also stated that the lawsuit was encouraged by a competitor and misrepresents how event-driven markets work. According to Lara, liquidity on Kalshi is provided peer-to-peer, and any participant can supply it. The dispute highlights a much broader issue in the industry: how prediction markets should be regulated. A similar situation previously occurred at Polymarket, which in 2022 agreed to stop serving U.S. users following a settlement with the CFTC. Earlier this year, Polymarket returned to the domestic market by purchasing an exchange and clearinghouse. Rapid expansion raises visibility The lawsuit arrives during a period of strong growth for Kalshi. The company recently raised $1 billion, valuing it at $11…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto Institutions Invest Nearly $25B in 2025 as Market Matures, With CEX, Prediction Markets, and DeFi Driving Inflows

Crypto Institutions Invest Nearly $25B in 2025 as Market Matures, With CEX, Prediction Markets, and DeFi Driving Inflows

The post Crypto Institutions Invest Nearly $25B in 2025 as Market Matures, With CEX, Prediction Markets, and DeFi Driving Inflows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG News, citing DL News, reports that institutional investment in crypto for 2025 neared $25 billion, a 150% year-over-year rise that underscores mounting capital commitment to the sector. Leading buyers include Paradigm and Sequoia Capital, alongside Wall Street giants BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs, illustrating broad cross-sector demand for crypto exposure. DefiLlama data show demand concentrated in three lanes: centralized exchanges ($4.4B), prediction markets ($3.2B), and DeFi platforms ($2.9B), highlighting where capital is flowing within the ecosystem. Industry thinkers frame this shift as maturation rather than weakness: Knecht notes that capital is chasing projects with clear regulatory transparency and operational resilience, aligned with traditional finance standards. Chong sees funds gravitating toward revenue‑positive players with sustainable economics, signaling rational fundraising. Verbitskii argues that capital tends to flow into foundational infrastructure first, mirroring historic technology cycles. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/crypto-institutions-invest-nearly-25b-in-2025-as-market-matures-with-cex-prediction-markets-and-defi-driving-inflows

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews