Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

888 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Ethereum News: Institutions Hold 10% Of The Supply, While Retailers Shift To MAGACOIN FINANCE

Ethereum News: Institutions Hold 10% Of The Supply, While Retailers Shift To MAGACOIN FINANCE

Ethereum is quietly entering one of its most transformative phases yet. Fresh data from CryptoQuant and CoinShares reveals that institutional […] The post Ethereum News: Institutions Hold 10% Of The Supply, While Retailers Shift To MAGACOIN FINANCE appeared first on Coindoo.

Author: Coindoo
ICE investment puts Shayne Coplan on Bloomberg Billionaires Index; Polymarket at $9 billion valuation

ICE investment puts Shayne Coplan on Bloomberg Billionaires Index; Polymarket at $9 billion valuation

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) agreed to a $2 billion investment in Polymarket, valuing the prediction-market platform at $9 billion. The deal placed Shayne Coplan on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The development follows CFTC approval for Polymarket to serve U.S. customers again in September 2025, after earlier restrictions. ICE investment and Polymarket valuation: $2 billion, $9 billion […] The post ICE investment puts Shayne Coplan on Bloomberg Billionaires Index; Polymarket at $9 billion valuation appeared first on CoinChapter.

Author: Coinstats
NYSE Parent Company Invests $2B in Polymarket at $9B Valuation

NYSE Parent Company Invests $2B in Polymarket at $9B Valuation

The post NYSE Parent Company Invests $2B in Polymarket at $9B Valuation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. New York Stock Exchange parent ICE invests $2 billion in Polymarket, valuing DeFi firm near $9 billion. Partnership makes Polymarket global distributor of ICE event-driven data for tokenized finance markets. Deal positions Polymarket and ICE as leaders in bringing institutional scale to decentralized finance. Polymarket, the blockchain-based prediction-market platform, secured a $2 billion strategic investment from the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), parent of the New York Stock Exchange. The transaction, announced October 7 2025, lifted Polymarket’s valuation to roughly $9 billion, making it one of the highest-valued decentralized-finance (DeFi) companies to date. ICE said the investment aligns with its broader push into tokenized finance and on-chain market data. “There are opportunities across markets that ICE together with Polymarket can uniquely serve,” Jeffrey C. Sprecher, ICE chair and CEO, said in the statement. How will ICE utilize Polymarket’s Data? Under the partnership, ICE becomes the global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data, allowing its institutional network to access real-time probability and sentiment indicators across sectors.  “Together, we’re expanding how individuals and institutions use probabilities to understand and price the future. By combining ICE’s institutional scale and credibility with Polymarket’s consumer savvy, we will be able to deliver world-class products for the modern investor,” Coplan noted.  What is the significance of the partnership? Competitive edge: The strategic ICE’s investment in Polymarket will play a crucial role in their global expansion strategies. For instance, Polymarket faces stiff competition from Kalshi prediction among other prediction sites. Regulatory insights: Polymarket stands to benefit from the vast regulatory insights from ICE, which has been operating since 1792.  “Markets on Everything”: Polymarket’s Broader Vision According to Coplan, the strategic collaboration between ICE and Polymarket will enhance the possibility of what can be traded globally. Moreover, combining Polymarket’s vast consumer network and ICE’s institutional scale and credibility creates a robust…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto News: ICE to Invest $2B in Polymarket as Prediction Markets Gain Momentum

Crypto News: ICE to Invest $2B in Polymarket as Prediction Markets Gain Momentum

The post Crypto News: ICE to Invest $2B in Polymarket as Prediction Markets Gain Momentum appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ICE invests $2B in Polymarket, enhancing crypto prediction markets with tokenization and data distribution for global growth. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), will invest $2 billion in Polymarket. This investment reflects ICE’s growing interest in integrating prediction markets with traditional finance.  The deal is also seen as a step forward in advancing the role of cryptocurrencies in mainstream financial markets. ICE’s Investment and Strategic Partnership ICE’s $2 billion investment in Polymarket will be fully paid in cash. The agreement also increases Polymarket’s valuation to $9 billion. In addition to the cash investment, ICE will become a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data. As part of this partnership, both companies plan to explore future tokenization projects. These initiatives are expected to introduce new ways for users to engage with crypto-based predictions. The collaboration is seen as a major step towards bringing prediction markets into the wider financial sector. Furthermore, this investment also comes as the interest in prediction markets continues to grow. Platforms like Polymarket are becoming more popular as people look for alternative ways to predict the future. ICE sees a clear opportunity to expand its reach by tapping into this emerging sector. Expanding Tokenization Initiatives The partnership between ICE and Polymarket will focus on future tokenization initiatives. Tokenization refers to the process of turning real-world assets into digital tokens that can be traded. Subsequently, both companies plan to develop products that combine prediction markets with tokenized assets. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan noted that this collaboration would help bring prediction markets to the financial mainstream. With ICE’s institutional credibility and resources, the potential to expand tokenized financial products is immense. The partnership aims to create new ways for users to interact with these markets. Markets on everything. We’re proud to announce that $ICE,…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
What it means for US prediction markets

What it means for US prediction markets

The post What it means for US prediction markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) invested $2 billion into Polymarket at a $9 billion post-money valuation, CEO Shayne Coplan announced on Oct. 7. The deal represents the most significant single investment in prediction markets and positions the sector as crypto’s emerging battleground as institutional capital seeks on-chain infrastructure with real-world utility. ICE is the owner of the New York Stock Exchange and the world’s largest exchange company. Lynn Martin, president of NYSE, celebrated the partnership in a post before the opening bell. She said that the partnership will “help bring prediction markets into the financial mainstream.” Beyond the investment Coplan described the partnership as “a major step in bringing prediction markets into the financial mainstream” and “a monumental step forward for DeFi.” The announcement also highlighted that ICE founder Jeff Sprecher plans to utilize NYSE infrastructure to advance the tokenization of assets. Additionally, ICE will distribute Polymarket data to thousands of financial institutions globally. The investment follows two previously unannounced rounds. Coplan revealed that Founders Fund led a $150 million Series B earlier in 2025 at a $1.2 billion valuation, with participation from Ribbit, Valor, Point72 Ventures, and Coinbase. Blockchain Capital also led a $55 million Series A in 2024 at a $350 million valuation. What it means for prediction markets Polymarket’s return to US markets gained regulatory clearance on Sept. 3 when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a no-action letter to QCX LLC, enabling event contracts to operate under federal derivatives rules. QCX was acquired by Polymarket this year. The approval marks a comeback for the platform, which ceased US operations in 2022 after settling unregistered derivatives charges for $1.4 million. The regulatory green light arrives as prediction markets captured mainstream attention. September’s monthly volume more than doubled to $4.28 billion, up 126.3% from August’s $1.89 billion. Kalshi seized…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
‘Golden Age’ of Prediction Markets Dawns as Activity Reaches New Highs

‘Golden Age’ of Prediction Markets Dawns as Activity Reaches New Highs

The post ‘Golden Age’ of Prediction Markets Dawns as Activity Reaches New Highs appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket and Kalshi continue to battle for supremacy with new partnerships and investment announcements. After a slow ramp-up throughout 2025, the rivalry between Kalshi and Polymarket is intensifying, pushing cumulative prediction market activity to new highs, while volumes reach their highest levels since the 2024 presidential election. September marked Polymarket’s highest volume month this year with $1.43 billion in volume, according to DeFiLlama. Meanwhile, Kalshi closed its best month yet, processing just over $3 billion in volume in September. According to Dune Analytics, the week ending September 29 marked the prediction market sector’s highest seven-day volume stretch since the 2024 presidential election, with total volume of $1.45 billion, compared to $1.98 billion during election week. Meanwhile, activity and unique transactions on prediction markets have hit new all-time highs for three consecutive weeks, led by Kalshi’s 3.4 million weekly transactions. The discrepancy between total volume and unique transactions suggests a higher proportion of low-value transactions, as opposed to election week, which featured massive bets on highly liquid markets. Cumulative Prediction Market Transactions – Dune Analytics There appears to be a significant development almost every week in the prediction market space, with today’s notable news being a $2 billion investment in Polymarket from the operator of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Although both market leaders are benefiting from the betting frenzy, Kalshi has reportedly taken a firm lead in the race. However, it is worth noting that Kalshi markets are not onchain, meaning their data is sourced from centralized APIs, as opposed to Polymarket’s decentralized infrastructure. “I think the idea of “prediction market wars” is overstated. The total addressable market is so large that multiple players can succeed. This isn’t a winner-takes-all space. In crypto, there’s too much PvP energy when what we really need is cooperation. Both the…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
The Kalshi vs Polymarket KOL Wars have begun

The Kalshi vs Polymarket KOL Wars have begun

The post The Kalshi vs Polymarket KOL Wars have begun appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi are competing to recruit as many crypto influencers as possible, paying them to display affiliate badges on X in a PR battle that has been dubbed the “Kalshi vs Polymarket KOL Wars.” Both firms are paying undisclosed sums to various accounts, with followers ranging from the hundreds to the hundreds of thousands, to promote their markets to their respective audiences on X and display the affiliate badge. Crypto streamer Gainzy announced he was joining Polymarket last month, while @katexbt joined Kalshi this week. Another member of the Kalshi team noted last month, “Deploying more Kalshi badges — steady lads,” while some users have begged for the chance to represent Kalshi. The marketing push follows a recent dramatic drop in app downloads across both platforms and may well be an attempt to hook newcomers across the crypto community. Prediction market competition leads to poaching X user and crypto streamer, “Eddie,” accepted a Kalshi affiliate deal in September, but over three weeks later, he was poached by Polymarket and his account is now sporting the rival badge.  One crypto user joked Eddie might even be a “double agent.” Read more: Lord Miles wants YouTubers to help settle Polymarket scandal Another influencer to switch sides is “Utopia Sports,” who is currently brandishing a Polymarket badge after claiming their Kalshi partnership turned sour.  The account claims their badge was removed three weeks into the partnership after they wanted to renegotiate the terms of Kalshi’s “unclear” agreement. According to messages shared by Utopia Sports, Kalshi wanted the money paid to Utopia Sports back and told them, “If we let every partner cut off their contract while keeping the money, we would go bankrupt.” Didn’t even get drafted in the Kalshi vs Polymarket KOL wars, is it because I am old now? — Cobie (@cobie) October 6, 2025 For…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
ICE commits $2b to Polymarket for global data distribution

ICE commits $2b to Polymarket for global data distribution

ICE is making a strategic pivot toward alternative data, capitalizing on Polymarket’s proven accuracy in forecasting real-world events to sell a new form of intelligence to hedge funds and asset managers. According to a press release dated Oct. 7, Intercontinental…

Author: Crypto.news
Wall Street Giant Could Catapult Polymarket to $10B Valuation

Wall Street Giant Could Catapult Polymarket to $10B Valuation

The post Wall Street Giant Could Catapult Polymarket to $10B Valuation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), is reportedly nearing a $2 billion investment in Polymarket. It points to Wall Street’s most traditional player stepping into one of crypto’s most controversial frontiers. Sponsored Sponsored NYSE Owner ICE Reportedly Nears $2 Billion Investment in Polymarket Sources familiar with the matter told WSJ that the deal could value Polymarket at up to $10 billion. If it materializes, it would cement Polymarket’s status among the fastest-growing projects in decentralized finance (DeFi). If completed, the deal could also aid Polymarket’s ambitions as it re-establishes a presence in the US following the CFTC approval. Despite regulatory troubles in the US, the platform has continued to thrive offshore, attracting a mix of retail traders and high-net-worth users seeking exposure to political, financial, and cultural event outcomes. Meanwhile, the prospective ICE-Polymarket deal comes only months after reports indicated Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund led a $200 million investment, valuing the company around $1 billion. Notably, ICE’s potential deal would multiply this figure several times over. The investment is expected to be finalized as soon as Tuesday, October 7. It marks a bold move by ICE, which boasts a market capitalization above $91 billion. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Market Cap. Source: Google Finance The firm’s entry into prediction markets signals a broader shift in traditional finance’s appetite for event-driven trading infrastructure. Notably, this space is often dismissed as a regulatory gray zone. Sponsored Sponsored It would also mirror ICE’s historical strategy of acquiring stakes in early-stage innovations that redefine market mechanics, from energy exchanges to digital asset clearinghouses. TradFi’s Deepening Push into Prediction Markets The timing of ICE’s reported investment is striking. It comes just months after rival platform Kalshi secured a $185 million Paradigm-led round, valuing the CFTC-regulated prediction market at $2…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
7 Best Prediction Markets in 2025: Bet on Sports, Politics, World Events & More

7 Best Prediction Markets in 2025: Bet on Sports, Politics, World Events & More

The post 7 Best Prediction Markets in 2025: Bet on Sports, Politics, World Events & More appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets are quickly becoming one of the most exciting ways to trade in 2025. Instead of just betting on sports or investing in stocks, these platforms let you put money behind your forecasts on politics, economics, and world events. They’re popular because they combine two things:  The chance to profit from correct calls The ability to see what the “wisdom of the crowd” expects to happen next For example, election prediction markets often beat polls in accuracy because people risk real money on the outcome. In this guide, I’ll look at the best prediction markets available right now. From U.S.-regulated platforms like Kalshi to global crypto apps like Polymarket, you’ll see the top prediction markets in 2025 and know exactly where to bet on politics, sports, and more. Let’s get started! List of the top 7 prediction markets in 2025: Kalshi – The first federally approved prediction market, covering politics, economics, weather, and more. Crypto.com Sports – A CFTC-regulated partnership with Underdog, offering real-time sports event trading. Robinhood Sports – Integrates sports event contracts directly into the Robinhood app, with zero commissions. PredictIt – Academic nonprofit platform focusing on elections and policy outcomes in the United States. Polymarket – The largest decentralized market, covering politics, crypto, sports, and cultural events. Augur – An Ethereum-based platform where users can create and trade markets on almost anything. Interactive Brokers/ForecastTrader – Offers event contracts alongside stocks, options, and futures for professional traders. The best prediction markets in 2025 Now that we’ve set the stage, let’s go through the platforms that make the cut this year.  Each has its own strengths, whether you’re looking for election prediction markets, sports contracts, or global crypto-based betting. 1. Kalshi: Best for regulated U.S. event trading Kalshi is the first federally regulated event trading exchange in the U.S., approved by…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews