Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

906 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Robinhood to launch new derivatives exchange for prediction markets push

Robinhood to launch new derivatives exchange for prediction markets push

Robinhood is deepening its foray into prediction markets with plans to launch a derivatives exchange through a new JV with Susquehanna.

Author: The Block
Galaxy Digital Eyes Bigger Role in Prediction Markets

Galaxy Digital Eyes Bigger Role in Prediction Markets

Galaxy Digital is in talks with prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket to provide liquidity as a market maker, seeking to expand its role in the growing, event-based trading sector. The post Galaxy Digital Eyes Bigger Role in Prediction Markets appeared first on Crypto News Australia.

Author: Cryptonews AU
Story Protocol Surges 21% on New Prediction Markets and Privacy Upgrade

Story Protocol Surges 21% on New Prediction Markets and Privacy Upgrade

The post Story Protocol Surges 21% on New Prediction Markets and Privacy Upgrade appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Story Protocol’s native token soared 21.48% to $2.98 in 24 hours as the blockchain introduced its first prediction markets and launched Confidential Data Rails. This privacy-focused upgrade secures encrypted data on-chain. The surge mirrors multiple feature rollouts and rising institutional attention, positioning the Layer 1 blockchain as a critical driver in the growing $80 trillion intellectual property economy. Sponsored Price Jumps with New Features and Market Momentum As of 2:00 am UTC on Wednesday, Story Protocol’s IP token traded at $2.98—a 21.48% increase over the previous day. The token saw $145.63 million in trading volume across leading exchanges. Its market cap reached $975.42 million, placing it #104 among global cryptocurrencies. Story hit an all-time high of $14.78 on Sept. 21, 2025, and has traded between $1.00 and $14.78 since. Institutional confidence is rising as publicly traded IP Strategy (Nasdaq: IPST) holds 53 million tokens on its balance sheet. These tokens are valued at about $731 million. Source: BeInCrypto The price rally arrived alongside three major launches: Story’s first prediction markets, integration with Dune Analytics for on-chain data, and a technical paper outlining Confidential Data Rails. These updates expand Story’s capabilities beyond IP registration, demonstrating it can support a broader range of decentralized applications. Story Protocol Debuts On-Chain Prediction Markets Story Protocol unveiled its first prediction markets with MusicByVirtuals, allowing users to trade on outcomes linked to cultural and financial events. These markets enable bets on topics like K-pop chart positions and cryptocurrency prices, with settlements processed on Story’s blockchain. Sponsored These markets highlight how cultural trends and financial predictions can be tokenized and traded on-chain, showcasing Story’s versatility beyond IP management. It underscores Story’s aim to capture both IP ownership and the speculation surrounding cultural assets. Confidential Data Rails: Privacy Upgrade for On-Chain Assets Last Thursday, Story Protocol released its…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Bank Of America Warns Of New Credit Risks With Gambling, Prediction Markets

Bank Of America Warns Of New Credit Risks With Gambling, Prediction Markets

The post Bank Of America Warns Of New Credit Risks With Gambling, Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Topline Booming prediction markets and sports gambling products are creating new credit risks for Americans, according to Bank of America, which warned about particularly high impacts on young men and low-income lenders. Prediction markets like Kalshi have exploded in popularity. Photo by Kayla Wolf for The Washington Post via Getty Images Key Facts A note from Bank of America Global Research identified, “easy access and gamified interfaces” as factors encouraging frequent and impulsive wagers, “which can lead to overextension of credit and rising loan defaults.” The note characterized the boom of prediction and betting markets as a “convergence of entertainment and speculative finance,” saying it indicates risks that could impact consumers’ credit qualities, raise delinquencies and affect earnings for issuers and subprime lenders. Credit scores fall by an average of 2.75 points when online and mobile phone sports gambling is available, according to Bank of America, which noted low-income consumers and young men are particularly susceptible to the gambling credit risks. Subprime borrowers have a higher potential for revolving debt spikes, accelerated defaults and higher charge-off rates, the note said. Young men, especially those in low-income areas, “could exhibit limited financial literacy and constrained liquidity making them highly susceptible to compulsive wagering and credit stress,” the note said, adding promotional incentives and social media marketing of gambling sites could increase participation and result in heightened credit balances. Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts: We’re launching text message alerts so you’ll always know the biggest stories shaping the day’s headlines. Text “Alerts” to (201) 335-0739 or sign up here. Big Number $99 billion. That is how much money worth of legal wagers were placed in the first eight months of this year, according to the American Gaming Association, a 12.4% increase year-over-year. Read More Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2025/11/25/sports-gambling-prediction-markets-could-lead-to-new-credit-risks-for-young-men-and-low-earners-bank-warns/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital Explores Polymarket, Kalshi Partnerships as Liquidity Provider: Report

Galaxy Digital Explores Polymarket, Kalshi Partnerships as Liquidity Provider: Report

The post Galaxy Digital Explores Polymarket, Kalshi Partnerships as Liquidity Provider: Report appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital explores market-making partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi platforms. Novogratz confirms firm testing small-scale liquidity provision on prediction markets. Institutional traders enter prediction space as regulatory barriers decline over time. Galaxy Digital is exploring partnerships with prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi to serve as a liquidity provider, according to a Bloomberg report. The firm’s CEO, Mike Novogratz, confirmed the company is testing market-making operations in the sector. Novogratz told media that Galaxy Digital is currently conducting small-scale experiments with market-making on prediction platforms. He added that the firm plans to eventually provide liquidity across these markets at a larger scale. Galaxy Tests Market-Making Infrastructure The investment management firm would step in to buy and sell prediction contracts, adding market depth similar to its operations on crypto exchanges. This approach could help reduce costs for users by tightening spreads and improving order execution. Prediction markets allow users to trade yes or no contracts, with prices showing the probability of specific outcomes. Polymarket and Kalshi have processed approximately $42.4 billion in combined trading volume across their platforms. Kalshi has surpassed Polymarket in monthly volume since September. The CFTC-regulated platform gained ground after Polymarket was ordered to withdraw from the U.S. market in 2022. However, Polymarket’s acquisition of QCEX earlier this year enabled its return to American users. Institutional Firms Enter Prediction Market Space The lack of arbitrage traders in prediction markets has created price gaps between platforms. Contracts for Kevin Hasset to become Federal Reserve Chair currently trade at $0.35 on Kalshi and $0.14 on Polymarket, according to recent data. Kalshi brought on Susquehanna as its first major institutional market maker in 2024. Bloomberg also reported that Jump Trading began providing liquidity for the platform earlier this month. These firms previously helped establish infrastructure for crypto market liquidity before 2016.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Bank of America warns that the popularity of prediction markets could lead to bad loans

Bank of America warns that the popularity of prediction markets could lead to bad loans

The post Bank of America warns that the popularity of prediction markets could lead to bad loans appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bank of America warned on the growth of retail prediction markets and sports results, warning that it could lead to consumer debt and bad loans. US-based customers have wider access to prediction platforms, due to legislation allowing platforms to be treated as trading services.  The expansion of prediction markets is creating credit risk, as the predictions can be just as risky as gambling. Platforms like Polymarket incur losses for 84% of users on average, with only a handful of whales making successful trading streaks.  Bank of America analysts warned some users could resort to predictions with consumer debt, as Bloomberg reported.  ‘Easy access and gamified interfaces encourage frequent and impulsive wagers,’ warned BofA analysts. US-based traders have wider access to prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, after the Supreme Court canceled the federal ban on sports gambling.  Kalshi and Polymarket offer a new form of betting, requiring upfront interaction with their pairs or contracts. The financial side of prediction markets may push some users to take up debt, in the hope of a rapid gain.  The risk is even higher for short-term contracts or contentious issues expected to be resolved within minutes or hours. Prediction markets converge investment with speculative gambling  Prediction markets, with their fast resolution and transparent liquidity, are becoming one of the preferred modes for engaging with crypto projects. Instead of waiting for some form of value, clients seek a mix of entertainment and speculative finance.  According to BofA, the usage of prediction platforms could create more bad credit. Prediction market usage is not banned by banks, and is not directly reflected in the credit score. However, regions with more lenient betting laws also have lower credit scores on average, with an increased likelihood of personal bankruptcy.  The rising popularity of Polymarket and Kalshi, along with marketing…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Homegrown NYC startup Polymarket allowed to resume US operations following CFTC reversal

Homegrown NYC startup Polymarket allowed to resume US operations following CFTC reversal

The CFTC issued an amended order allowing Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction-market platform, to resume operations in the U.S.

Author: The Block
Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market With New Partners

Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market With New Partners

The post Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market With New Partners appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital begins market-making experiments with Polymarket and Kalshi prediction platforms targeting $9B industry. Firm joins elite group including Susquehanna and Jump Trading, providing institutional liquidity to event markets. Mike​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌ Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital is making tactical changes to the fast-growing prediction markets sector to grab a portion of the $9 billion industry opportunity. The firm, which is primarily into crypto investments, is in talks with the top platforms Polymarket and Kalshi for liquidity provision, thus signaling the arrival of a new trend of the Wall Street to event-based ​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌trading. Strategic Liquidity Expansion Plans Galaxy​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌ Digital started small-scale market-making trials on prediction market platforms and is willing to increase the volume of operations depending on the results of the tests. Continuous bid-ask spreads will be made available by the company, thus improving market depth and trading efficiency for users of both exchanges.  Novogratz also acknowledged the firm’s hesitating but daring strategy, expressing that they plan to provide wider liquidity services after the experiments show profitable results. Thus, Galaxy is now one of a few institutional players that are entering the space, along with Susquehanna International Group and Jump ​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌Trading. The​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌ timing coincides with Galaxy’s May 2024 Nasdaq listing under the ticker GLXY, which is a move that deepens its integration into the conventional U.S. capital markets. By executing this strategic move, the company is effectively combining its expertise in the crypto world with the day-to-day operations of the traditional financial industry, thus paving the way for services like cutting-edge market making.  Prediction markets enable their users to trade binary contracts that are dependent on the results of real-world events, thus establishing price discovery mechanisms for virtually any kind of event, be it elections or sports. Polymarket and Kalshi are the two major players in the field with a total lifetime trading…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market, Enters Liquidity Talks With Polymarket and Kalshi

Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market, Enters Liquidity Talks With Polymarket and Kalshi

The post Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market, Enters Liquidity Talks With Polymarket and Kalshi appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital has begun plans to tap into the $9 billion prediction market. The firm is now in talks with Polymarket and Kaishhi as it looks to build its investment reach. Galaxy Digital Eyes Prediction Market Liquidity Push According to Bloomberg, Mike Novogratz’s firm is in active discussions with Polymarket and Kalshi about providing liquidity to their respective prediction markets. Novogratz revealed that the company has already started small-scale testing. They also expect to scale up if early results show strong traction. “We’re doing some small-scale experimenting with market-making on prediction markets, but I think you’ll eventually see us providing broader liquidity,” he said. By acting as a liquidity provider, the firm would place steady bids and offers. This would narrow spreads and improve overall market depth on both platforms. The move comes as the company increases visibility in public markets. Last May, Galaxy Digital completed its listing on Nasdaq under the ticker GLXY. This is particularly key given the expansion of the firm throughout the U.S. capital markets. Only a few Wall Street firms have publicly ventured into prediction markets. Susquehanna International Group has been one of a limited number of institutional liquidity providers on Kalshi. Also, Jump Trading has recently started trading more quietly on the platform. Growing Momentum in Prediction Markets Prediction markets lets traders to buy and sell binary contracts that are tagged to specific outcomes. Polymarket and Kalshi are the main market makers with a combined $42.4 billion in lifetime volume. Initially, Polymarket was top of the due to the coverage of political-event speculation. Since September, though, Kalshi has taken the lead in monthly trading activity. These platforms have recently attracted several high-profile partners. This includes Galaxy Digital, Google Finance, and even the National Hockey League. Both exchanges also run incentive programs aimed at attracting…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets

Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets

The post Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital, under the leadership of Mike Novogratz, is venturing into the promising arena of digital prediction markets. In a discussion with Bloomberg, Novogratz shared the company’s initial forays through experimental engagement in market making via the Polymarket and Kalshi platforms. Continue Reading:Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets Source: https://en.bitcoinhaber.net/galaxy-digitals-bold-step-towards-prediction-markets

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews