Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

902 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: Will SHIB Price Reach $0.000330?

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: Will SHIB Price Reach $0.000330?

The post Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: Will SHIB Price Reach $0.000330? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Story Highlights The live

Author: CoinPedia
Nasdaq-listed Enlivex plans $212 million fundraise for Rain token treasury, calling it first prediction-markets DAT

Nasdaq-listed Enlivex plans $212 million fundraise for Rain token treasury, calling it first prediction-markets DAT

Matteo Renzi, former Prime Minister of Italy, will join the Enlivex board of directors following the closing of the fundraise, the company said.

Author: The Block
Kalshi CEO Discusses the Future of Prediction Markets

Kalshi CEO Discusses the Future of Prediction Markets

The post Kalshi CEO Discusses the Future of Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Luisa Crawford Nov 21, 2025 10:11 Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour explores the role of prediction markets in finance, emphasizing regulation and crypto integration, as discussed on a16z’s web3 podcast. Prediction markets are rapidly transforming how society engages with real-world events, according to a podcast discussion featuring Kalshi Cofounder and CEO Tarek Mansour, hosted by Robert Hackett on a16z’s web3 series. These markets allow individuals to trade on occurrences such as elections and inflation, potentially reshaping the landscape of finance and forecasting. Understanding Prediction Markets During the conversation, Mansour emphasized that prediction markets are distinct from gambling, highlighting their regulatory compliance as a cornerstone of Kalshi’s success. He detailed how these markets contribute to a smarter society by enabling informed speculation on future events. The Role of Regulation Mansour discussed the critical role of regulation in fintech innovation, particularly for Kalshi, which has embraced crypto and stablecoins in its strategy to expand globally. This regulatory framework has been instrumental in building consumer trust and ensuring market stability. Lessons from the Crypto Industry Reflecting on the lessons learned from the collapse of FTX, Mansour noted the importance of compliance as a defensive moat. He explained how Kalshi monitors its markets to prevent manipulation and ensure fair trading practices, taking cues from established platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood. Kalshi’s Strategic Vision Kalshi’s mission to make forecasting tradable aligns with its long-term strategy of integrating cryptocurrency into its operations. Mansour detailed how the adoption of stablecoins facilitates Kalshi’s global outreach, enhancing its ability to operate across borders efficiently. Insights on Leadership and Innovation Beyond market mechanics, Mansour shared insights into productivity and leadership, even touching on personal topics like kombucha preferences. His reflections on maintaining process and patience underscore the strategic mindset driving Kalshi’s growth. This…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Market Kalshi’s Valuation Jumps to $11B After Reported $1B Raise

Prediction Market Kalshi’s Valuation Jumps to $11B After Reported $1B Raise

The post Prediction Market Kalshi’s Valuation Jumps to $11B After Reported $1B Raise appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In brief Prediction market Kalshi’s valuation has hit $11 billion after reports of an undisclosed $1 billion funding round. Independent data show the platform hitting $50 billion in annualized volume and $4.4 billion in October trades. Federal rulings and state-level disputes continue to define the firm’s U.S. expansion as rivals regain domestic access. U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi has reportedly pushed its valuation to roughly $11 billion after raising $1 billion in a yet undisclosed funding round, according to an initial report from TechCrunch citing a source with knowledge of the deal. The rise in valuation marks one of the fastest step-ups in the prediction market sector this year. The company closed the round weeks after securing $300 million at a $5 billion valuation in October. Trading activity, market depth, and user adoption continued to climb into this year’s final quarter. Kalshi’s annualized trading volume reached about $50 billion last month, according to a report from crypto analytics platform CryptoRank. The figure marks a dramatic jump from roughly $300 million just a year ago, as reported by the New York Times. It has also outpaced Polymarket, its main rival. Just last month, it generated approximately $4.4 billion in trading volume, surpassing Polymarket’s $4.1 billion during the same month.  About a third of bets on Kalshi are for sports-related markets, according to a Dune dashboard. Weekly notional volume among prediction markets have also been on a steady rise since September, according to a broader dashboard from the same maintainer. Sequoia Capital and CapitalG reportedly led the deal, joined by Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Anthos Capital, Neo, and other returning backers. Kalshi’s raise “just shows the ceiling is only getting higher for prediction markets, and we haven’t seen anything yet,” Farokh Sarmad, co-founder and president of rival prediction market platform Myriad, told…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kaito, Polymarket have launched the first “verifiable mindshare markets"

Kaito, Polymarket have launched the first “verifiable mindshare markets"

The post Kaito, Polymarket have launched the first “verifiable mindshare markets" appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kaito, the Web3 information platform that specializes in indexing hard-to-reach crypto data, has launched what it describes as the first “verifiable mindshare markets” on Polymarket, opening a new category of prediction markets built on AI-derived sentiment, popularity, and social media chatter.  The partnership also highlights the work of two other partners of Kaito, with the three of them working at the intersection of AI, cryptography, and decentralized markets: Kaito for data and inference, Brevis for zero-knowledge verification, and EigenCloud for auditable AI compute. Polymarket opens a new category of markets Kaito announced the collaboration on X, stating that “This is the start of a new category – where anyone, anywhere can predict mindshare, sentiment, and popularity for anything.”  The Kaito-Polymarket product is designed to be verifiable at every stage, which is quite different from traditional sentiment indices or social-media-driven indicators, which rely on opaque algorithms. Kaito wrote “transforming AI from opaque to a verifiable system is a challenging task,” and to solve that challenge, it partnered with EigenCloud using its EigenAI product, which enables it to turn “what used to be an opaque model into verifiable compute that anyone can audit before Polymarket settles payouts.” EigenCloud wrote on X, that “AI creates the markets, EigenCloud makes the AI verifiable, and Polymarket brings it to the world,” and went further to describe the launch as “the beginning of verifiable markets.” Proprietary algorithms will be auditable The second leg of the technical system comes from Brevis, a zero-knowledge proving service that allows Kaito to keep its proprietary scoring algorithms private while still enabling users to verify that the calculations were performed correctly. Pointing out the challenge it solves for Kaito and how it ties into the Polymaket, Brevis wrote on X, “prediction markets only work if participants trust the data feeding them.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Raises $1 Billion, Boosting Its Valuation to $11 Billion

Kalshi Raises $1 Billion, Boosting Its Valuation to $11 Billion

The post Kalshi Raises $1 Billion, Boosting Its Valuation to $11 Billion appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi raised $1 billion in the latest fundraising cycle. The latest capital raise gives the prediction platform an $11 billion valuation. Kalshi recently won a legal battle in a California court. According to reports, Kalshi, a prediction market that allows people to bet on future events, has raised $1 billion two months after a previous fundraising cycle that saw the company raise $300 million at a $5 billion valuation.  Kalshi’s latest $1 billion fundraising round values the company at $11 billion, with returning investors including Sequoia and Capital IG leading the process. Other investors involved in the fundraising event include renowned VCs such as Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Anthos Capital, and Neo. Related Articles: Good News Is Bad News’: Why the Shutdown’s End Is Hurting Bitcoin Kalshi’s Recent Legal Boost Notably, Kalshi’s latest capitalization comes a few days after its landmark legal victory, when a California court denied a motion from three tribes to prohibit Kalshi from operating on tribal lands in the Golden State.  According to the ruling, Kalshi is federally regulated through the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Therefore, the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act applies to Kalshi, and its “internet contracts are not bets or wagers under the UIGEA and therefore do not constitute ‘unlawful internet gambling’ even if the contracts are received, placed, or transmitted from persons on Indian lands where internet gambling is illegal. Ongoing Growth in the Prediction Market In the meantime, according to reports, Kalshi’s main rival, Polymarket, is in talks for another fundraising round that would value the company between $12 billion and $15 billion. This comes a few weeks after the prediction platform closed a $1 billion round at an $8 billion pre-money valuation. The public’s awareness of Kalshi and Polymarket surged last year, ahead of the US presidential election, when both platforms…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Prediction Markets surge to $11B valuation

Kalshi Prediction Markets surge to $11B valuation

The post Kalshi Prediction Markets surge to $11B valuation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. U.S. platform Kalshi, a regulated venue for event contracts, has reportedly closed a massive financing deal that reshapes the prediction markets landscape. How does Kalshi’s new funding round change the market? According to a TechCrunch report, Kalshi, a U.S.-based prediction market supervised by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), has raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation. However, the company has not yet publicly confirmed the latest Kalshi funding round or disclosed official terms. The deal more than doubles Kalshi’s previous valuation of $5 billion from October, when it raised $300 million. That earlier round was backed by major investors including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, CapitalG, and Coinbase Ventures. Moreover, Sequoia Capital and CapitalG are reportedly returning to lead the current round, signaling sustained conviction from top-tier venture firms. Before these latest developments, the company had already secured $185 million at a $2 billion valuation in June, according to prior reports. If confirmed, the new financing would lift Kalshi’s total capital raised in less than six months to nearly $1.5 billion, underscoring the intense investor appetite for this segment of financial innovation. What is Kalshi and how do its prediction markets work? Kalshi operates a CFTC-regulated venue that allows users to trade contracts tied to the outcomes of real-world events, effectively turning questions about the future into tradable assets. Its platform reportedly serves participants from more than 140 countries, although it is structured as a U.S. prediction market under the CFTC regime. That said, regulatory oversight remains a key differentiator in a sector often associated with informal betting sites. On Kalshi, users can place positions on topics ranging from sporting events and political elections to film ratings on Rotten Tomatoes and awards such as Time Magazine’s Person of the Year. This broad catalogue aims to capture global interest…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting

Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting

BitcoinWorld Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting Get ready for a revolutionary shift in sports betting! Fanatics, the sports merchandise giant, is teaming up with Crypto.com to launch an innovative prediction market platform that could change how fans engage with their favorite sports forever. This exciting partnership marks a significant milestone in the evolution of sports entertainment and cryptocurrency integration. What Makes […] This post Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Kalshi prediction markets unicorn raises $1B at $11B valuation

Kalshi prediction markets unicorn raises $1B at $11B valuation

U.S. platform Kalshi, a regulated venue for event contracts, has reportedly closed a massive financing deal that reshapes the prediction markets landscape. How does Kalshi’s new funding round change the market? According to a TechCrunch report, Kalshi, a U.S.-based prediction market supervised by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), has raised $1 billion at an […]

Author: The Cryptonomist
Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation

Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation

The post Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction market platform Kalshi has secured $1 billion in fresh funding, pushing its valuation to $11 billion. The move comes amid the rapid integration of prediction platforms into the mainstream. Users flock to these sites to wager on everything from elections and crypto prices to even daily temperature readings. Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation After Record Latest Round Kalshi’s latest capital raise comes less than two months after the company secured $300 million at a $5 billion valuation. Citing people familiar with the matter, TechCrunch reported that the newest round was led by both previous backers and new investors. Sponsored Sponsored The returning investors included Sequoia and CapitalG. Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Anthos Capital, and Neo joined them. Meanwhile, rival platform Polymarket is pursuing its own ambitious funding, targeting a $12 billion valuation. Kalshi has emerged as the leading prediction platform, overtaking Polymarket in September. However, the dominance has been recently challenged by Opinion. Dune Analytics data showed that the platform recorded a weekly notional volume of $1.46 billion. This was slightly higher than Kalshi’s $1.2 billion, while Polymarket trailed behind with less than $1 billion. Market Volume of Prediction Platforms. Source: Dune Still, Kalshi has continued to expand its presence. The platform now serves users in over 140 countries. According to the official data tracker, Kalshi’s cumulative transactions stand at over 68.4 million, with a cumulative trading volume exceeding $17 billion. Additionally, prediction markets continue to gain mainstream visibility, further bolstered by Google’s latest move. Google Finance has integrated real-time data from both Kalshi and Polymarket, marking a notable step in bringing event-based trading to a wider audience. Despite this growth, Kalshi faces escalating legal challenges. The platform operates as a federally regulated Designated Contract Market under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. “Kalshi is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews